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Daily Market Update March 31, 2021

Early Morning Update

The May21 natural gas contract is trading flat to yesterday’s close at $2.62. The May21 crude oil contract is down $0.25 at $60.30.

Summary

The quick shot of cold this week is expected to be short-lived, a typical trend for most of this past winter season. The cooler temps will be followed by warmer-than-normal temperatures to start off April. The blanket of warmer temps covers the majority of the country in the 6-10 day forecasts, then leans mostly towards the eastern half for the following two weeks. The first injection into storage is projected to be reported by the EIA tomorrow, with estimates between 11 and 26 Bcf. The deficit to the five-year average is narrowing due to the mild temps, with storage levels currently at 1,746 Bcf, much healthier than expectations a few months ago. The NYMEX natural gas futures price for May fell 3.0 cents yesterday to settle at $2.623/MMBtu. The ship that was lodged in the Suez Canal was finally freed on Monday, but expectations are that the backlog of ships waiting to get through the canal could last another week before normal shipping schedules resume. U.S. dry production averaged just over 92.0 Bcf/d this month and breached 93.0 Bcf/d for a few days toward the end of the month, the highest levels seen in a while, and crept closer to the all-time highs not seen since the end of 2019.

 

Market Update 03 31 2021

Market Settles 03 30 2021

 

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