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Daily Market Update January 7, 2021

Early Morning Update

The Feb21 natural gas contract is trading down $0.02 at $2.70. The Feb21 crude oil contract is up $0.17 at $50.80.

Summary

We saw a change of pace for the NYMEX natural gas market yesterday, as the recent rally subsided, and the prompt month settled just one penny above the previous day at $2.716/MMBtu. The 12-month strip remained flat, as did Cal '22, but the outer years beyond Cal '23 increased around three cents each. Revisions to the weather forecast remain fairly minimal, with overarching bearish temperatures continuing to hold strong in the 1-10 day forecast across the northern half of the country. Models are showing the potential for colder-than-normal temperatures to come through near the end of the month. If this holds true, it could create a bullish reaction in the market due to increased heating demand, so keep an eye out for that. Later on this morning, we'll be on the lookout for the weekly storage reported released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Market participants are expecting a withdrawal of around 135 Bcf to be reported for the week to January 1. If this actualizes, it would be larger than the 5-year average withdrawal of 115 Bcf.

 

Market Update 01 07 21

Market Settles 01 06 21

 

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