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Daily Market Update August 23, 2018

Early Morning Update

The Sep18 natural gas contract is trading down $0.01 at $2.94. The Oct18 crude contract is down $0.05 at $67.81.

 
 

Summary

The NG prompt month saw a slight drop in prices Wednesday closing down $.024 to finish the day at $2.956.  The prompt month has been threatening the key $3 resistance level for roughly two weeks, without ever having broken through.  The market has defended the $3 level before, notably in mid-June when prices briefly broke through then sold-off.  The market is being supported right now by very bullish weather forecasts for the east coast starting this weekend.  While the east coast is experiencing a respite this week, significant heat will return and linger for at least a week.  This will likely cause higher power burns as air-conditioners get cranked up.  And this will not help the already large Y-o-Y storage deficit.  End/summer storage estimates are currently ~3.37 TCF, well below last years’  3.788 and the 5 YA at 3.829.

 

 

Market Update 082318

Market Settles 082218

 

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