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Daily Market Update September 1, 2017

Early Morning Update

The Oct17 natural gas contract is trading down $0.01 at $3.03.  Oct17 crude is down $0.09 at $47.14.

Summary

The NYMEX prompt NG contract saw its biggest one day rise in over a month as the EIA reported a storage injection that was roughly in line with expectations.  The median estimate of injections was 30 Bcf and the actual injection was 30 Bcf.  Weather forecasts continue the same pattern of scorching conditions in the West and below-average in the East.  The difference is born out in power prices, as short term prices in CA have been higher than they’ve been in years and prices in Nepool are stuck in the teens.  The CAISO is anticipating that they will break their 11-year old demand record.  I find this to be very surprising, given the amount of rooftop solar that has been installed in the last decade, so it’s a real testament to how hot it actually is in California.

 

Market Update 09117

Market Settles 083117

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