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Daily Market Update February 22, 2017

Early Morning Update

The Mar17 natural gas contract is trading down $0.01 at $2.55.  The Mar17 crude contract is down $0.23 at $54.10

  

Summary

A sharp sell-off was seen in gas and power markets yesterday as the market digested the latest round of above-average weather forecasts.   Above average temperatures are now forecast through at least mid-March.  Demand will be reduced from heating-related sources and end-of-winter NG storage levels look set to creep higher, near 2.0 Tcf.

As the prompt NG contract sold-off yesterday, it broke through several technical support levels and landed at $2.56, another key support level.  Whether we will see another step lower will depend if the warm weather forecasts can extend their streak further into March.  Looking ahead to tomorrows EIA storage report, current estimates are calling for a draw from storage in the low 80’s, highlighting the low NG demand levels.  Compounding the bearish news is the fact that NG production is creeping higher, albeit slowly, now nearing 72 Bcf/d

 Market Update 022217

Market Settles 022117

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